Author :
Abstract
Türkiye ihtiyaç duyduğu enerjinin büyük bir kısmını ithal etmektedir. Bu açıdan dışa bağımlıdır. Toplam ithalatımızın yaklaşık %25’ini enerji maliyetleri oluşturmaktadır. Enerjinin iktisadi açıdan önemi özellikle üretimde girdi olmasından kaynaklanmaktadır. Herhangi bir sebeple enerji fiyatlarının artması veya döviz kuru oynaklıkları maliyet bazlı enflasyona neden olabilmektedir. Bu çalışmada enerjinin Türkiye ekonomisi açısından önemi vurgulanmak istenmiş, aynı zamanda enflasyonu önleme adına maliyetleri azaltıcı yönde çözüm önerilerine yer verilmiştir. Bu bağlamda, Johansen Eşbütünleşme tekniği kullanılarak 2004-2019 dönemi için ithal enerji ile enflasyon oranları arasındaki ilişkinin ampirik analizi yapılmıştır. Buna göre iki değişken arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki bulunmuştur.
Keywords
Abstract
Turkey has substantially been supplying energy from abroad. In this context, Turkey is dependent on foreign sources. Approximately 25 % of Turkey’s total import consists of energy costs. The fact that energy is a source of input for production reveals the economic importance. The increase in energy costs is directly related to the price of goods and services. Therefore, if energy prices rise, the general level of price will also increase. Thus, the inflation will be inevitable. In this study, it was aimed to emphasize the importance of energy in terms of economic activities and to prevent inflation some possible solutions on behalf of reducing costs were also included. Empirical analysis of the relationship between imported energy and inflation rates for the period 2004-2019 has been made using the Johansen Cointegration technique. Accordingly, a long-term relationship was found between the two variables.
Keywords
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